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Showing posts from February, 2020

Short Takes: Illiquid Investments, Deferring OAS, and more

My most recent post argued that all of us have shortcuts in our decision making that can lead us astray and make us look irrational at times: Behavioural Biases are in All of Us Here are some short takes and some weekend reading: Tom Bradley at Steadyhand explains what investors should know before diving into illiquid investments. Boomer and Echo explains when you should or should not defer taking OAS to age 70. It’s important not to get too caught up in guessing how long you’ll live. The important thing is having a decent income in case you live long. This tends to make deferring OAS to age 70 look like a good idea for those with the savings to pay their own way through their latter 60s. David Robson explains how the gambler’s fallacy finds its way into decisions unrelated to gambling. I suspect that the real life examples have more complex things going on, but it’s clear that there are biases at play. The problem is that most people think these biases are things tha...

Behavioural Biases are in All of Us

The findings of behavioural economics are often cast as the ways that we’re irrational. This allows us to laugh at the foolish things other people do and know that “since I’m rational, none of this applies to me.” But this isn’t true. Many of these biases are baked into all of us. Consider the tendency to heavily discount the future. To take a cookie now instead of two cookies in a year is to give up a 100% return. However, look at this from the point of view of our distant ancestors who lived on the edge of starvation. They couldn’t afford to plan too much for the future and possibly starve today. When people refuse a 50/50 coin flip to either lose $100 or gain $200, they are using a rule of thumb that appears to be baked into all of us to avoid a loss even at the expense of the possibility of a much larger gain. We seem to have many such rules of thumb baked into the automatic part of our brains. These rules of thumb have served us well throughout human evolution, but th...

Short Takes: Stock-Picking, Falling for a Ponzi Scheme, and more

My most recent post was answering an interesting reader question about whether to leave TD e-Series funds for ETFs: Reader Question: Switching Portfolios Here are some short takes and some weekend reading: Tom Bradley at Steadyhand has some good therapy for investors who trade individual stocks without knowing much about the companies they buy. This is a point I’ve tried to make in the past without much success. During my not very stellar stock-picking period I pored over financial filings trying to understand the businesses I wanted to own. But it wasn’t enough to compete with other traders effectively. Andrew Hallam explains how he fell for a Ponzi scheme. Retire Happy explains when you shouldn’t contribute to an RRSP.

Reader Question: Switching Portfolios

A reader, Doug, asked the following interesting (lightly-edited) question about whether it’s time to switch portfolios: I currently have over $200K in my RRSP sitting in TD e-series mutual funds (25% bonds, 25% each in CDN/US/Int'l Equity). The resulting MER is 0.37%. Does it now make sense for me to switch over to ETFs? I was thinking another Canadian Couch Potato portfolio with the ETFs VAB and VEQT. The MER is around 0.22%, a savings of $300 per year. However, I'm very comfortable with e-series funds as I've been using them for 6 years. With ETFs, I also have to pay commissions to buy which will amount to perhaps $120 to $240 per year as I purchase twice a month. What are your thoughts? Any other pros and cons that you can think of? Does it make sense to switch given the saying that perfection is the enemy of good? First of all, Doug, congratulations on amassing over $200k in savings over 6 years. You’ve given yourself more choices in life. Your last...

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